Dr Castera: You are right. Liver fibrosis is the main prognostic factor in liver disease. Currently, we have two different but complementary approaches among the non-invasive tests. One is the level of serum markers. The other is based on the measurement of liver stiffness using different techniques, of which transient elastography has been the pioneer, but there are new techniques like ARFI (shear wave elastography) and MR elastography. So far, I have to say that transient elastography is the most widely available, validated and used, including in China. Regarding serum markers, there are mathematical formulae that have been validated against liver biopsy. Some of them are proprietary, such as FibroTest, while others are free like FIB-4 or APRI. They have high applicability, wide availability (according to whether they are patented or non-patented), but their performance for cirrhosis is not as good as transient elastography. On the other hand, the main advantage of transient elastography is that it is a point-of-care technique, meaning that results are immediately available (five minutes). It can be performed by a nurse as well as a doctor, or at the bedside. In the range from 12-75 kPa, there is very high accuracy (probably the highest for cirrhosis), and there is also prognostic value in the context of cirrhosis. The main disadvantage of this technique is its reduced applicability in cases of obesity or ascites, and where there is a lack of operator experience. Those are the main drawbacks. You also have to be cautious with inflammation, as there is the risk of false positives.
Dr Castera: I don’t think that non-invasive tests are going to replace liver biopsy, especially for NAFLD, because diagnosis of some of the lesions like NASH, where patients are at risk of no return and there is the potential for complications, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, depends on liver biopsy. So far, none of the non-invasive methods, including serum markers and imaging techniques, can confidently diagnosis NASH. As for fibrosis, it has already been shown in the field of viral hepatitis that these techniques are quite reliable, especially for the diagnosis of cirrhosis. I think liver biopsy will still be needed in a subset of patients. For instance, all the current ongoing global phase III clinical trials are based on liver biopsy. The eligibility criteria rely on liver biopsy and follow-up also relies on liver biopsy. It is very likely that as new drugs are approved, liver biopsy will still be necessary. The challenge will be to identify patients in at-risk populations who are most at risk of progression (these are the patients with NASH and advanced fibrosis), and there the non-invasive methods can be useful to identify and select those subsets of patients for referral to expert centers for liver biopsy and to benefit from clinical trials and drugs.
Dr Castera: For the diagnosis of cirrhosis, I think transient elastography is currently the most accurate method. The other point is that, in the context of cirrhosis, liver stiffness as measured by transient elastography has prognostic value. If the cut-off is >15 kPa, the probability of liver cirrhosis is quite high. But within the value range of 15-75 kPa, we know that there is a correlation between the liver stiffness value and occurrence of complications, including death, the need for liver transplantation and hepatocellular carcinoma. In this context, I think that transient elastography is very valuable. On the other hand, with the curability of hepatitis C, most of our cirrhotic HCV patients will benefit from DAAs, and the question arises of whether we can use transient elastography for follow-ups. After SVR, liver stiffness significantly decreases, but we need to know if we can use liver stiffness as a surrogate of fibrosis regression or cirrhosis regression. There is still room for improvement, because we have very little data and I think we need to be cautious. We need more data before we can recommend that a decrease in liver stiffness is a good surrogate for cirrhosis regression. So the take-home message is that we need to follow-up these patients and not stop monitoring for portal hypertension and HCC despite the decrease in liver stiffness.